FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
Blackpool

Perraud (22', 62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Patino (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Blackpool
45.82% ( 0.15)	25.16% ( 0.01)	29.01% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.16)

48.68% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0.15)

70.79% (

0.14)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-0)

21.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

54.18% (

-0)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.21)

30.73% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

-0.25)

66.99% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Southampton 45.81%

Blackpool 29.02%

Draw 25.16%

Southampton	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.02%