Newcastle United vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.