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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
36.63% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.23% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.104 0.1)46.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)68.63% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.107 0.11)23.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.152 0.15)58.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.63%
    Leicester City 38.23%
    Draw 25.15%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
17.4%
Draw
19.9%
Leicester City
62.7%
161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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