Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
36.63% ( -0.09) | 25.15% ( -0.02) | 38.23% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( 0.1) | 46.35% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.63% ( -0.1) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0) | 24.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% ( 0) | 59.36% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( 0.11) | 23.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.15) | 58.14% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 38.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 35 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Aston Villa | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Fulham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 14 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 9 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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