Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 46'

Leicester City vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
Man Utd 3 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Harvey Barnes

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 20.19% (+0.09)
Draw 22% (+0.03)
Arsenal 57.81% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.51% (-0.01)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 64.8% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 35.2% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 28.04% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 71.96% (-0.10)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 85.35% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.65% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 57.21% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 42.79% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Leicester City 20.19%
Draw 22%
Arsenal 57.81%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.51% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.09% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.93% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 57.81%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gabriel Jesus 23' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 35' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 55' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 75' goal
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 16'
  • goal William Saliba 53' (OG)
  • goal James Maddison 74'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 11' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 59' goal
  • yellowcard Kelechi Iheanacho 30'
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 58'
  • yellowcard Patson Daka 80'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jonny Evans 68' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 75' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 5'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 18'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 28, 2021 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Youri Tielemans 6' goal
  • Luke Thomas 38' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 72' yellowcard
  • goal David Luiz 39'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 45'+2'
  • goal Nicolas Pepe 52'
  • yellowcard Kieran Tierney 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Oct 25, 2020 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hector Bellerin 30' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 57' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Fuchs 32'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 41'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 52'
  • yellowcard James Maddison 67'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 74'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 80'
EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elneny 13'
  • goal Christian Fuchs 57' (OG)
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 90'

Build-up

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