Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Leicester

Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)

FT(HT: 2-3)

Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
44.41% ( 1.99)	25.06% ( -0.22)	30.53% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

0.28)

47.47% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

0.26)

69.68% (

-0.26)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

1.05)

21.39% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

1.59)

54.38% (

-1.59)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

-1.03)

29.06% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03% (

-1.29)

64.97% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 44.41%

Leicester City 30.53%

Draw 25.05%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.53%