FA Cup
Mar 1, 2023 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Duje Caleta-Car 65' goal
  • goal Gavan Holohan 45'+1'
  • goal Gavan Holohan 50'

Southampton vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 47.13% (-3.65)
Draw 24.21% (+0.79)
Grimsby Town 28.66% (+2.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.47% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.28% (-1.45)
Under 2.5 44.72% (+1.45)
Over 3.5 32.92% (-1.41)
Under 3.5 67.08% (+1.41)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 80.9% (-1.98)
Under 0.5 19.1% (+1.98)
Over 1.5 49.28% (-3.38)
Under 1.5 50.72% (+3.38)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (+1.37)
Under 0.5 28.96% (-1.37)
Over 1.5 35.15% (+1.67)
Under 1.5 64.85% (-1.67)

Score analysis

Southampton 47.13%
Draw 24.2%
Grimsby Town 28.66%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.26)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.51)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.50)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.58)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.36)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.37)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.82% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.53% (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
Grimsby Town
1-2 @ 7.03% (+0.51)
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.66)
0-2 @ 4.25% (+0.55)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.29)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.66%