MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 11:16:34| >> :600:483050:483050:
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Grimsby Town

Southampton
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (45+1' pen., 50' pen.)
Hunt (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 2-0 Grimsby Town

With Southampton likely to make alterations, Grimsby will be optimistic about taking full advantage. However, for all their struggles, the Saints still possess a talented squad, and they should have enough quality to make relatively light work of their next opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
47.13% (-3.647 -3.65) 24.21% (0.788 0.79) 28.66% (2.857 2.86)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-1.446 -1.45)44.72% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-1.408 -1.41)67.08% (1.407 1.41)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-1.976 -1.98)19.1% (1.974 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-3.376 -3.38)50.72% (3.373 3.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (1.368 1.37)28.96% (-1.369 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (1.664 1.66)64.85% (-1.667 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 47.13%
    Grimsby Town 28.66%
    Draw 24.2%
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.574 -0.57)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.337 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.508 0.51)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.55 0.55)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.311 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.66%

How you voted: Southampton vs Grimsby Town

Southampton
75.6%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
13.3%
90
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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