League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Lapslie (56'), Hawkins (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Holohan (75')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Grimsby Town
43.59% ( 0.2)	26.93% ( -0.1)	29.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

0.34)

55.54% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

0.28)

76.71% (

-0.28)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.25)

25.29% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.95% (

0.35)

60.06% (

-0.34)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.11)

33.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

0.12)

70.63% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 43.58%

Grimsby Town 29.49%

Draw 26.93%

Gillingham	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.49%