League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • George Lapslie 56' goal
  • Oliver Hawkins 87' goal
  • goal Gavan Holohan 75'

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Clifton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result

Gillingham 43.59% (+0.20)
Draw 26.93% (-0.11)
Grimsby Town 29.49% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.35% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.46% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 55.54% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 23.29% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 76.71% (-0.28)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 74.71% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 25.29% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 39.95% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 60.06% (-0.35)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.05% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 33.95% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.37% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 70.63% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Gillingham 43.58%
Draw 26.93%
Grimsby Town 29.49%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.12% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.93%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park
  • Ryan Taylor 7' goal
  • goal Mikael Mandron 14'
League Two
Mar 21, 2009 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jean-Louis Akpa Akpro 33' goal
  • Nick Hegarty 58' goal
  • Peter Sweeney 72' yellowcard
  • Barry Conlon 90' goal
League Two
Sep 6, 2008 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simeon Jackson 34' goal
  • Mark McCammon 70' goal
  • Charlie Daniels 89' goal
  • Charlie Daniels 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Newey 90'