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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 66.37% ( | 21.06% | 12.57% |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( | 74.15% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% | 15.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% | 43.48% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.27% ( | 50.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.84% ( | 85.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% 2-0 @ 13.69% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 66.37% | 1-1 @ 9.8% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 3.15% ( Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.57% |