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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
3 - 3
Gillingham

Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Khan (41'), Brennan (69')
Khan (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Dieng (24'), Nichols (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham

Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
65.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.87%13.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)14.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.51%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 65.95%
    Gillingham 13.16%
    Draw 20.87%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Gillingham
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Swindon
Donnelly (71')
Ehmer (25'), Konchesky (54'), Wright (65'), Jackson (70')
Doughty (55' pen.)
Rodgers (31'), Barry (76'), Vigouroux (81'), Ormonde-Ottewill (90')
Ormonde-Ottewill (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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