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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
1 - 0
Swindon

Hannant (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
30.54% (-0.023 -0.02)26.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.02% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)31.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)67.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 30.54%
    Swindon Town 43.24%
    Draw 26.21%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.24%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
40.0%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')

Marshall-Miranda (37')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Colchester

Conroy (9')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
rhs 2.0


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