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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Swindon Town

Barrow
0 - 1
Swindon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reed (7' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 5-0 Barrow
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
42.48% (-0.19 -0.19)27.05% (-0.058 -0.06)30.47% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.309 0.31)55.61% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.252 0.25)76.77% (-0.25 -0.25)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.042999999999992 0.04)25.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.055 0.05)60.87% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.34399999999999 0.34)33.26% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (0.376 0.38)69.87% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 42.47%
    Swindon Town 30.47%
    Draw 27.04%
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Barrow
Davison (22'), Reed (85')
Odimayo (61')
Platt (83')
Gotts (24'), Brough (73'), Gordon (90+8')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-0
Swindon
Banks (62' pen.), Gordon (87' pen.)
Brown (38'), Gotts (71'), Banks (77'), Farman (84'), Jones (90+1')

Gladwin (32'), McKirdy (76'), Mitchell-Lawson (87')
Conroy (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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