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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Swindon Town

Barrow
0 - 1
Swindon


Farman (5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reed (7' pen.)
MacDonald (33'), Shade (45'), Hutton (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 5-0 Barrow
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-1 Swindon Town

With eight wins from 10 and only eight goals conceded at Holker Street, Barrow's home form has sustained their unlikely promotion push this far. They can, therefore, extend Swindon's struggles on Saturday by pulling further clear of their close rivals in the League Two standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
42.48% (-0.19 -0.19) 27.05% (-0.058 -0.06) 30.47% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.309 0.31)55.61% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.252 0.25)76.77% (-0.25 -0.25)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.042999999999992 0.04)25.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.055 0.05)60.87% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.34399999999999 0.34)33.26% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (0.376 0.38)69.87% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 42.47%
    Swindon Town 30.47%
    Draw 27.04%
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Barrow
Davison (22'), Reed (85')
Odimayo (61')
Platt (83')
Gotts (24'), Brough (73'), Gordon (90+8')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-0
Swindon
Banks (62' pen.), Gordon (87' pen.)
Brown (38'), Gotts (71'), Banks (77'), Farman (84'), Jones (90+1')

Gladwin (32'), McKirdy (76'), Mitchell-Lawson (87')
Conroy (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mansfield TownMansfield392013679374273
2Stockport CountyStockport382011775403571
3Wrexham392010970482270
4MK Dons40207136354967
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe3918111067551265
6BarrowBarrow381713853401364
7Crawley TownCrawley38185155754359
8Gillingham40178153947-859
9AFC Wimbledon4015131253421158
10Walsall381511125752556
11Newport CountyNewport39167165859-155
12Morecambe39159155968-954
13Harrogate TownHarrogate39159154655-954
14Notts County39156187674251
15Tranmere RoversTranmere40155205957250
16Accrington StanleyAccrington39148175257-550
17Bradford CityBradford391311154653-750
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster38147175162-1149
19Salford City401211176073-1347
20Swindon TownSwindon391111176570-544
21Grimsby Town38815154965-1639
22Colchester UnitedColchester37810194766-1934
23Sutton UnitedSutton40712214571-2633
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3989223865-2733


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