League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • John Akinde 51' goal
  • goal Josh Davison 67'
  • goal Ethan Chislett 89'

Colchester United vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Gillingham 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Noah Chilvers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Newport
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result

Colchester United 42.8% (+0.16)
Draw 27.42% (+0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 29.78% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.07% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.76% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 57.24% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 21.91% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 78.09% (+0.13)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 73.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.65% (-0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 65.37% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 34.63% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 28.65% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 71.35% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Colchester United 42.8%
Draw 27.42%
AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 12.18% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.1% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Josh Davison 47' goal
  • Josh Davison 66' goal
  • goal Kwesi Appiah 18'