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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
42.8% (0.153 0.15) 27.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 29.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.16 -0.16)57.24% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.129 -0.13)78.09% (0.13 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.218 -0.22)34.63% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.231 -0.23)71.35% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.8%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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