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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Newport County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Newport

Chislett (58')
Hudlin (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9'), Demetriou (66'), Lewis (68'), Moriah-Welsh (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Newport County

 It is never really clear which Newport County side are going to turn up, given their inconsistent form in League Two this season, so it would not be a surprise if they managed to emerge victorious on Boxing Day. However, the most likely result is a comprehensive win for AFC Wimbledon, given their recent uptick in form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewport County
39.04% (0.202 0.2) 27.5% (-0.073 -0.07) 33.47% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43% (0.265 0.27)56.58% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (0.214 0.21)77.56% (-0.211 -0.21)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.242 0.24)28.22% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (0.305 0.31)63.92% (-0.303 -0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.053999999999988 0.05)31.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.060000000000002 0.06)68.08% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 39.03%
    Newport County 33.46%
    Draw 27.5%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.46%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Newport

AFC Wimbledon
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Newport
Akinfenwa (11', 72')

Porter (45'), Jones (70')
Feely (56')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
Apr 18, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Newport
Appiah (49'), Francomb (69')
Zebroski (15'), Flynn (47' pen.)
Minshull (48'), Feely (66'), Sandell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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