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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Newport County

Crewe
1 - 2
Newport

Brook (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
34.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.93%37.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)78.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0020000000000095 0)29.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 34.38%
    Newport County 37.69%
    Draw 27.92%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.38%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Crewe vs Newport

Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
Draw
14.3%
Newport County
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Crewe
P-P
Newport
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')

Lancashire (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crewe
Demetriou (81')
McKirdy (26'), Bowery (60')
Ng (83')