League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Lachlan Brook 13' goal
  • goal Cameron Norman 62'
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 85'

Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Newport 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Omar Bogle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 34.38% (-0.01)
Draw 27.93%
Newport County 37.69% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.94% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.06% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.74% (+0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 68.19% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.81% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.76% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.24% (+0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 70.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.73% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.79% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 34.38%
Draw 27.92%
Newport County 37.69%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
Newport County
0-1 @ 11.47% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 37.69%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2020 3.00pm
Alexandra Stadium
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Padraig Amond 93' goal
  • yellowcard Olly Lancashire 9'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Jordan Bowery 34' goal
  • George Ray 69' yellowcard
  • Chris Porter 88' goal
  • Callum Ainley 90' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 65'
  • yellowcard Jamille Matt 72'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 74'
  • goal Padraig Amond 76'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade (Newport (Casnewydd))
  • Andrew Crofts 16' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 33' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Kirk 45'
League Two
Mar 24, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade (Newport (Casnewydd))
  • Mickey Demetriou 81' goal
  • goal Harry McKirdy 26'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 60'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 83'
League Two
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Perry Ng 9' yellowcard
  • Perry Ng 17' redcard
  • Chris Dagnall 18' goal
  • goal Frank Nouble 13'
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 83'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Brien 88'