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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Hartlepool United

Gillingham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Nichols (39'), Jefferies (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Stoke
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawHartlepool United
44.65% (-0.142 -0.14)27.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.15% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.82% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (0.16 0.16)57.13% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (0.128 0.13)78% (-0.124 -0.12)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7%60.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (0.221 0.22)35.84% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.225 0.23)72.61% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 44.65%
    Hartlepool United 28.15%
    Draw 27.2%
GillinghamDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 28.15%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
Gillingham

Wright (19')
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Hartlepool
3-4
Gillingham
Magnay (21'), McLaughlin (32'), O'Neill (115')
Featherstone (45'), Loach (90')
Ehmer (50'), Eaves (90' pen.), O'Neill (102'), List (107')
Fuller (59'), Bingham (59')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Gillingham
0-0
Hartlepool

Charles-Cook (88')

Noble (54')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Gillingham
Austin (79')
Collins (61')
Jackson (70')
Howe (33'), Jackson (88')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Hartlepool

Miller (36'), Nutter (82')
Brown (65')
Hartley (13'), McSweeney (72')
rhs 2.0


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