League Two Gameweek 27
Swindon
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Charlie Austin 25' goal
  • Marcel Lavinier 62' goal
  • Jonny Williams 66' goal
  • Ronan Darcy 78' goal
  • Saidou Khan 88' goal

Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
Colchester 1 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Stockport
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Clifton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 49.76%
Draw 24.57%
Grimsby Town 25.67% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.39%
Over 3.5 29.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.66%
Under 1.5 51.34% ▲ (+0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 49.75%
Draw 24.57%
Grimsby Town 25.67%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.67%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Blundell Park
Swindon
  • Ryan Taylor 25' goal
  • goal Luke Jephcott 13'
  • goal Ronan Darcy 44'
League Two Gameweek 35
Swindon
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
Grimsby Town
  • Anthony Grant 3' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 46' goal
  • Diallang Jaiyesimi 49' goal
  • Luke Hendrie 57' goal
  • goal James Hanson 59'
  • yellowcard Billy Clarke 66'
  • yellowcard Anthony Driscoll-Glennon 70'
League Two Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Swindon
  • Elliott Hewitt 76' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 10'
  • goal Jerry Yates 24'
  • goal Jerry Yates 52'
League Two Gameweek 34
Swindon
Feb 23, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
Grimsby Town
  • Theo Robinson 74' goal
  • yellowcard Ludvig Ohman 20'
  • yellowcard Wes Thomas 50'
  • redcard Ludvig Ohman 66'
  • goal Luke Hendrie 76'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 95'
League Two Gameweek 22
Grimsby Town
Dec 15, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blundell Park (Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire)
Swindon
  • Wes Thomas 26' goal
  • Wes Thomas 61' goal
  • goal Matthew Taylor 28'
League Two
Swindon
Apr 21, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Paul Mullin 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reece Hall-Johnson 40'
  • goal Mitch Rose 45'
  • yellowcard Mitch Rose 45'

Form Data

Colchester 1 - 0 Swindon
Northampton 1 - 2 Swindon
Swindon 1 - 2 Walsall
Barrow 0 - 1 Swindon
Swindon 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Crawley 2 - 0 Swindon
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Stockport
Grimsby Town 1 - 4 Salford City
Harrogate 3 - 2 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 2 - 1 Tranmere
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Grimsby Town