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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Grimsby Town

Swindon
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
49.76%24.57%25.67% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.75%
    Grimsby Town 25.67%
    Draw 24.57%
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.67%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Glennon (48')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Yates (46'), Jaiyesimi (49'), Hendrie (57' og.)
Grant (3')
Hanson (59')
Clarke (66'), Driscoll-Glennon (70')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Swindon

Hewitt (76')
Doyle (10'), Yates (24', 52')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Grimsby Town
Robinson (74')
Hendrie (76')
Ohman (20'), Thomas (50'), Dennis (95')
Ohman (66')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (26' pen., 61')
Taylor (28')