League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon5 - 0Grimsby Town
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Grimsby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 49.76% | 24.57% | 25.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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