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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
67.06% ( 0.23) | 20.41% ( -0.09) | 12.52% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 43.56% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% ( 0.06) | 50.08% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( 0.05) | 72.05% ( -0.05) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% ( 0.09) | 14.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% ( 0.17) | 41.57% ( -0.17) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.67% ( -0.19) | 49.33% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.81% ( -0.13) | 84.19% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 67.05% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 12.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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