Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.