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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.77% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) | 11.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.01) | 47.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.01) | 69.45% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.64% ( -0) | 12.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.8% ( -0.01) | 38.2% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.24% ( 0) | 49.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.44% 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.76% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.58% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
8 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 65 | 2 | 67 |
9 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 63 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |