League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 3
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)

Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Carlisle United
31.38% ( 0.03)	26.05% ( -0.06)	42.56% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63% (

0.25)

51.36% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.21)

73.18% (

-0.22)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.14)

30.43% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

0.17)

66.64% (

-0.17)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05% (

0.12)

23.94% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83% (

0.17)

58.17% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 31.38%

Carlisle United 42.55%

Draw 26.05%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.38%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.55%