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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 40.18% ( | 27.81% ( | 32.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% ( | 58.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( | 78.7% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( | 28.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32% |