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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bradford

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
40.18% (-0.012 -0.01)27.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)63.97% (0.012 0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.004999999999999 0)70.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.17%
    Bradford City 32%
    Draw 27.81%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Bradford City
45.5%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0


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