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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 33.45% | 28.18% | 38.37% |
| Both teams to score 47.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% | 59.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% | 79.54% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.55% |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% | 29.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% | 65.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.37% |