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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 25.16% ( | 27.57% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.95% ( | 60.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( | 80.27% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( | 39.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.35% ( | 76.64% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.37% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 13.93% 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.27% |