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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 32.31% | 27.38% ( | 40.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( | 56.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( | 77.37% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% | 68.84% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( | 27.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( | 62.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.3% |