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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
32.31% | 27.38% ( 0) | 40.31% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.13% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.65% ( 0) | 56.34% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.63% ( 0) | 77.37% ( 0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0) | 32.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% | 68.84% ( 0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0) | 27.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 0) | 62.86% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 79 | 37 | 42 | 73 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 40 | 35 | 71 |
3 | Wrexham | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 70 |
4 | MK Dons | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 55 | 12 | 65 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 64 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 59 |
8 | Gillingham | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 59 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 58 |
10 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 54 |
14 | Notts County | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 76 | 74 | 2 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 49 |
19 | Salford City | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 47 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 34 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 71 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
> League Two Full Table |