League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davison (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Sutton United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
48.41% ( 0.06)	27.93% ( -0.09)	23.66% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.51% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82% (

0.32)

62.18% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13% (

0.23)

81.87% (

-0.23)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

0.18)

25.91% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

0.24)

60.9% (

-0.24)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38% (

0.21)

42.62% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03% (

0.18)

78.97% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 48.4%

AFC Wimbledon 23.66%

Draw 27.92%

Sutton United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.91% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 48.4%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.66%