League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Will Randall 13' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 69' goal
  • goal Josh Davison 40'

Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton 2 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Colchester 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 48.41% (+0.07)
Draw 27.93% (-0.10)
AFC Wimbledon 23.66% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.82% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 62.18% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 18.13% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 81.87% (-0.23)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 74.09% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 25.91% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 39.1% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 60.9% (-0.24)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 57.38% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 42.62% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 21.03% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 78.97% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Sutton United 48.4%
Draw 27.92%
AFC Wimbledon 23.66%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.66% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.92%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.42% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.66%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Kyle Hudlin 17' goal
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • goal Craig Eastmond 30'
EFL Trophy
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Donovan Wilson 47' goal
  • yellowcard Nesta Guinness-Walker 71'
FA Cup
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Elliott 10' goal
  • Paul Robinson 15' redcard
  • Sean Kelly 57' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Barnett 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roarie Deacon 34'
  • yellowcard Dan Spence 43'
  • goal Roarie Deacon 75'
  • yellowcard Jamie Collins 82'
  • goal Maxime Biamou 90'
  • goal Dan Fitchett 96'
FA Cup
Jan 7, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Downer 25' yellowcard
  • Maxime Biamou 47' yellowcard
  • Jamie Collins 60' yellowcard
  • Nicky Bailey 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 22'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 61'