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Championship header 2

League Two

Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Mansfield
4 - 1
Doncaster

Anderson (1' og.), Kilgour (26'), Akins (60'), Swan (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hurst (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
60.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)17.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)48.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (0.012 0.01)41.61% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)78.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 60.36%
    Doncaster Rovers 17.34%
    Draw 22.29%
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 17.34%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
1-3
Mansfield
Tomlin (45+2' pen.)
Tomlin (66')
Clarke (15'), Maris (56'), Akins (71' pen.)
Hawkins (61'), Lapslie (83'), Clarke (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Doncaster
2-3
Mansfield
Horton (7'), Rowe (84')
Ravenhill (56')
Forrester (48'), Lapslie (60', 71')
Stirk (88')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Doncaster
1-0
Mansfield
Rowe (74')

Green (57')
Dec 31, 2016 12.15pm
Mansfield
1-1
Doncaster
Green (59')
Pearce (48'), Rose (71')
Mandeville (77' pen.)
Middleton (74')