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Carlisle United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Carlisle United

Doncaster
2 - 1
Carlisle

Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Seaman (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dennis (87')
Harris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Carlisle United

Doncaster have been showing inconsistent signs all season, and that is why we do not expect them to follow up their midweek victory with another three points on Sunday. Not only that, but Carlisle have emerged as one of League Two's better teams this season, particularly away from home, and they are very capable of recording a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
32.07%26.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 40.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.16%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 32.07%
    Carlisle United 40.95%
    Draw 26.98%
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Carlisle

Doncaster Rovers
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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