League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Doncaster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Rochdale
42.63% ( 0.25)	28.42% ( 0.02)	28.95% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 44.9% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.96% (

-0.16)

61.04% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97% (

-0.12)

81.02% (

0.12)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

0.06)

28.35% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

0.07)

64.08% (

-0.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.3)

37.33% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.3)

74.11% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 42.62%

Rochdale 28.94%

Draw 28.41%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.62%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.94%