Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.