League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 3 2
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Charlie Seaman 6' goal
  • Ben Close 9' goal
  • Harrison Biggins 37' goal
  • Tom Anderson 81' goal
  • goal Devante Rodney 14'
  • goal Ro-Shaun Williams 16' (OG)
  • goal Tyrese Sinclair 77'

Doncaster Rovers vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Tranmere 3 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
George Miller

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 2 Hartlepool
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result

Doncaster Rovers 42.63% (+0.25)
Draw 28.42% (+0.02)
Rochdale 28.95% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.9% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.96% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 61.04% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 18.97% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 81.02% (+0.13)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 71.65% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.35% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.91% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.08% (-0.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 62.67% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 37.33% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 25.89% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 74.11% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
Draw 28.41%
Rochdale 28.94%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.33% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.41% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Scott Quigley 45' goal
  • goal Kieran Agard 39'
  • goal George Miller 69'
League One Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Oliver Rathbone 54' yellowcard
  • Matt Done 83' goal
  • Jimmy Keohane 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Taylor Richards 30'
  • goal Taylor Richards 56'
League One Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Jon Taylor 31' goal
  • Andy Butler 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 83'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Jon Taylor 1' goal
  • Joe Wright 62' yellowcard
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 81'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Morley 66' goal
  • Aaron Morley 72' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Keohane 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Anderson 41'
  • goal Kieran Sadlier 93'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium (Doncaster, South Yorkshire)
  • Alfie May 1' goal
  • Ali Crawford 23' goal
  • John Marquis 34' goal
  • Tom Anderson 50' yellowcard
  • John Marquis 75' goal
  • James Coppinger 82' goal
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 60'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 66'
  • yellowcard Bradden Inman 72'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 75'