Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
42.63% ( 0.25) | 28.42% ( 0.02) | 28.95% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% ( -0.16) | 61.04% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% ( -0.12) | 81.02% ( 0.12) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% ( 0.06) | 28.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% ( 0.07) | 64.08% ( -0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( -0.3) | 37.33% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( -0.3) | 74.11% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |