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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Rochdale

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')
Ebanks-Landell (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Rochdale

Rochdale are a team in the need of points right now considering the fact they are in the relegation zone, and with Doncaster's current poor form this could be an ideal game. However, with Rovers having the home advantage, this could end up being another difficult fixture for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
42.63% (0.248 0.25) 28.42% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 28.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.16 -0.16)61.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.121 -0.12)81.02% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)64.08% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.302 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
    Rochdale 28.94%
    Draw 28.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Rochdale

Doncaster Rovers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Doncaster
Done (83')
Rathbone (54'), Keohane (90+3')
Richards (30', 56')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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