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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
60.9% ( 0.39) | 22.16% ( -0.29) | 16.94% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% ( 1.01) | 48.74% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( 0.91) | 70.85% ( -0.9) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( 0.47) | 15.54% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( 0.88) | 44.47% ( -0.87) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% ( 0.47) | 42.16% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% ( 0.4) | 78.57% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |