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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 36.65% ( | 28.05% ( | 35.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( | 58.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( | 79.04% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( | 30.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( | 66.79% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( | 31.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.3% |