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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Newport County |
| 36.51% | 26.79% | 36.69% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.01% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% | 63.91% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% | 63.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.69% |