Newport

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Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.