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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Port Vale |
| 40.69% | 27.21% | 32.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% | 76.87% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.22% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% | 32.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% | 68.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.11% |