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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 27.36% | 25.94% | 46.7% |
| Both teams to score 50.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% | 52.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.42% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% | 34.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% | 70.84% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% | 56.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.7% |