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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 43.39% | 27.28% | 29.33% |
| Both teams to score 48.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.18% | 77.81% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% | 26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% | 61.03% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% | 34.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% | 71.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.33% |