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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 39.5% | 27.16% | 33.34% |
| Both teams to score 50.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% | 55.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% | 76.49% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3% Total : 33.34% |