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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
51.87% ( -0.01) | 25.27% ( 0) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( 0.02) | 53.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( 0.01) | 75.12% ( -0.01) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0) | 20.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.72% | 53.27% ( 0.01) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.47% ( 0.02) | 38.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( 0.02) | 75.28% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |