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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
1 - 0
Crawley

Williams (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.85% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72%53.27% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)38.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.02 0.02)75.28% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 51.86%
    Crawley Town 22.85%
    Draw 25.27%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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