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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
1 - 0
Crawley

Williams (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Gillingham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01)25.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)22.85% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72%53.27% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)38.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.02 0.02)75.28% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 51.86%
    Crawley Town 22.85%
    Draw 25.27%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Crawley
0-0
Gillingham

Ehmer (18')
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
 Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
rhs 2.0


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