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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
2 - 2
Crawley

Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Telford (36', 67' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.59% (-0.044 -0.04)20.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.201 0.2)49.75% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.18 0.18)71.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.079000000000008 0.08)17.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (0.138 0.14)48.11% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39% (0.133 0.13)75.61% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 56.08%
    Crawley Town 20.32%
    Draw 23.59%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.08%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Crawley Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')