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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 28.61% ( | 25.39% ( | 46% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( | 49.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( | 71.86% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( | 31.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( | 68.06% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( | 21.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( | 54.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.99% |