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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 35.93% ( | 27.12% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( | 76.15% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( | 29.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( | 65.18% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% | 64.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.95% |