EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Salford City

Broom (44'), Sercombe (65'), Goodwin (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hendry (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Cheltenham Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Salford City
34.04% ( 0.27)	25% ( -0.02)	40.95% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95% (

0.15)

46.05% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

0.14)

68.35% (

-0.14)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.23)

26.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.31)

61.2% (

-0.31)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

-0.06)

22.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

-0.09)

55.93% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 34.04%

Salford City 40.95%

Draw 25%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.95%