League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Weir (20'), Phillips (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

May (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 5-0 Burton Albion
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Cheltenham Town
42.51% ( 2.18)	25.53% ( -1.84)	31.95% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 54.84% (

5.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

7.34)

48.96% (

-7.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

6.28)

71.05% (

-6.28)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

4.44)

22.92% (

-4.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31% (

6.14)

56.68% (

-6.14)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

3.46)

28.85% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

4.1)

64.71% (

-4.11)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 42.51%

Cheltenham Town 31.96%

Draw 25.52%

Morecambe	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -1.72) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.76) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.68) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.84) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -2.23) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.81) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -1.77) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.96%