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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Burton Albion

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Morecambe and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
32.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02)27.59% (0.014999999999997 0.01)39.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.03% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.055 -0.05)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.68%
    Burton Albion 39.73%
    Draw 27.59%
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Burton Albion

Morecambe
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Burton Albion
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Morecambe
Keillor-Dunn (30')
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
3-0
Burton Albion
Gnahoua (41'), Phillips (45+5'), Stockton (46')
Connolly (28')

Oshilaja (71')
Shaughnessy (43')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')