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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Burton Albion

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
Watts (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Morecambe and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Burton Albion

Having wrapped up the year with two consecutive victories, Burton Albion will head into 2023 with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the drop zone. Morecambe also appear to have also hit their stride and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
32.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02) 27.59% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 39.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.03% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.055 -0.05)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.68%
    Burton Albion 39.73%
    Draw 27.59%
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Burton Albion

Morecambe
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Burton Albion
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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