League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Peart-Harris (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brayford (45+2'), Kamwa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Forest Green
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-0 Lincoln
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
46.91% ( 0)	25.76% ( -0.01)	27.33% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

0.03)

52.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

0.03)

73.83% (

-0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

0.02)

22.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.38% (

0.02)

55.62% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

0.02)

33.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.03)

70.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 46.9%

Burton Albion 27.33%

Draw 25.76%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.33%