League One Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The New Lawn
  • Myles Peart-Harris 90'+3' goal
  • goal John Brayford 45'+2'
  • goal Bobby Kamwa 89'

Forest Green Rovers vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Burton Albion 3 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 46.91% (+0.01)
Draw 25.76% (-0.01)
Burton Albion 27.33% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.5% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.17% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.83% (-0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 77.79% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.21% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.38% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.62% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.2% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.8% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.53% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.47% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 46.9%
Draw 25.76%
Burton Albion 27.33%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.76%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.33%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Victor Adeboyejo 6' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 82' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Reece Brown 52'
  • goal Connor Wickham 69'