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Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Forest Green Rovers

MK Dons
1 - 0
Forest Green

Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19'), McEachran (64'), Tucker (77'), Johnson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Little (76'), Casey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between MK Dons and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

 The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
54.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)66.6% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)45.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)33.81% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.47% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.86%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.3%
    Draw 22.84%
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Forest Green

MK Dons
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
1-2
MK Dons
Williams (63')
Rawson (45')
Agard (38'), Martin (87')
Martin (60'), McGrandles (77')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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