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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 32.96% ( | 27.26% ( | 39.78% |
| Both teams to score 49.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.24% ( | 55.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% | 76.89% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( | 31.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% | 67.99% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% | 27.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% | 62.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.77% |