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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Colchester United

Harrogate
1 - 3
Colchester

Armstrong (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akinde (12'), Chilvers (17'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
40.7% (0.801 0.8)27.96% (0.17 0.17)31.34% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.835 -0.84)58.71% (0.841 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.655 -0.66)79.24% (0.66 0.66)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.051999999999992 0.05)28.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.061999999999998 0.06)64.02% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-1.126 -1.13)34.25% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-1.227 -1.23)70.95% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 40.7%
    Colchester United 31.33%
    Draw 27.96%
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 12.23% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.33%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Colchester

Harrogate Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Colchester United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Harrogate
Appiah (8'), Nouble (37')
Pattison (57')
Mattock (37')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Colchester
Muldoon (4')
Sears (21'), Chilvers (45')
Tchamadeu (21'), Chilvers (53'), Coxe (78')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Colchester
1-0
Harrogate
Jasper (88')
Chambers (57')

Hall (37'), Thomson (60')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Harrogate
3-0
Colchester
Beck (1'), Smith (45+1'), McPake (56')
Falkingham (78'), Martin (82')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Harrogate
Harriott (52'), Stevenson (54')
Brown (40'), Stevenson (90+2')
Stead (61')
rhs 2.0


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