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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 34.29% | 27.43% | 38.28% |
| Both teams to score 49.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% | 77.24% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% | 28.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% | 64.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.28% |