League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 3
Grimsby Town

FT(HT: 0-2)

McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Grimsby Town
28.25% ( 0.47)	25.97% ( 0.11)	45.78% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6% (

-0.17)

52.4% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

-0.14)

74.08% (

0.14)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.27)

33.24% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15% (

0.3)

69.85% (

-0.3)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.34)

22.84% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-0.5)

56.57% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 28.25%

Grimsby Town 45.78%

Draw 25.96%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.25%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.78%