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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Sixfields
Grimsby Town

Northampton
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Hoskins (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waterfall (74'), Glennon (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawGrimsby Town
49.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)24.84% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.77% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.02 0.02)76.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)55.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.34% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 49.14%
    Grimsby Town 24.84%
    Draw 26.01%
Northampton TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: Northampton vs Grimsby Town

Northampton Town
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Grimsby Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Grimsby Town
Wharton (25'), Oliver (41')
Oliver (60')

McKeown (42'), Green (52'), Clifton (81'), Rose (91')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm