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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
49.15% ( -0.01) | 26.01% ( -0) | 24.84% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% ( 0.02) | 54.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% ( 0.02) | 76.08% ( -0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.68% ( 0.01) | 22.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.21% ( 0.01) | 55.79% ( -0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( 0.02) | 37.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% ( 0.02) | 74.12% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
10 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |