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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 49.15% ( | 26.01% ( | 24.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( | 76.08% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( | 22.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( | 55.79% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( | 37.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( | 74.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.84% |