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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.73% ( -0.14) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 24.75% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.87% ( 0.06) | 60.13% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.66% ( 0.05) | 80.34% ( -0.05) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.69% ( -0.04) | 25.31% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.92% ( -0.06) | 60.08% ( 0.06) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( 0.16) | 40.41% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( 0.15) | 77.03% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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