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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Carlisle United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Carlisle

FT
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCarlisle United
31.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04)27.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)40.95% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)33.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)70.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)63.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 31.38%
    Carlisle United 40.94%
    Draw 27.66%
AFC WimbledonDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0039999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.94%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Guy (45'), Dennis (81')
Assal (59')
Towler (30')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Carlisle
Robinson (53')

Comley (79')
Gillespie (50')
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ibehre (67')
Grainger (71'), Miller (76'), Raynes (92')
Barcham (36')
Osborne (88')
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Carlisle
Akinfenwa (1')
O'Hanlon (16'), Rigg (56'), Amoo (94')
Grainger (71'), Young (87')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
4-4
AFC Wimbledon
Dempsey (13', 45'), Gillies (52'), Potts (70')
O'Hanlon (41')
Dicker (81')
Rigg (4'), Tubbs (22', 81'), Azeez (93')
Bennett (42'), Nicholson (64')
> Match Report