League Two Gameweek 31
AFC Wimbledon
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Carlisle

AFC Wimbledon vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 31.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Carlisle United 40.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 57.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.41% ▼ (-0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 66.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 72.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.2% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 31.38%
Draw 27.66%
Carlisle United 40.94%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.66%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 11.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 10
Carlisle
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
AFC Wimbledon
  • Callum Guy 45' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 81' goal
  • goal Ayoub Assal 59'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Paul Robinson 53' goal
  • redcard Mark Gillespie 50'
  • yellowcard Brandon Comley 79'
League Two
Carlisle
Aug 22, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Jabo Ibehre 67' goal
  • Danny Grainger 71' yellowcard
  • Tom Miller 76' yellowcard
  • Michael Raynes 92' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Barcham 36'
  • yellowcard Karleigh Osborne 88'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
Jan 17, 2015 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Carlisle
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 1' goal
  • goal Sean O'Hanlon 16'
  • goal Steven Rigg 56'
  • yellowcard Danny Grainger 71'
  • yellowcard Matt Young 87'
  • goal David Amoo 94'
League Two
Carlisle
Sep 6, 2014 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Kyle Dempsey 13' goal
  • Sean O'Hanlon 41' yellowcard
  • Kyle Dempsey 45' goal
  • Josh Gillies 52' goal
  • Brad Potts 70' goal
  • Gary Dicker 81' redcard
  • goal Sean Rigg 4'
  • goal Matt Tubbs 22'
  • yellowcard Alan Bennett 42'
  • yellowcard Jake Nicholson 64'
  • goal Matt Tubbs 81'
  • goal Ade Azeez 93'

Form Data

Leyton Orient 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Stockport
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Bradford
Crewe 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Sutton 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Colchester 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Carlisle 0 - 1 Harrogate
Carlisle 5 - 1 Barrow
Rochdale 0 - 1 Carlisle
Carlisle 3 - 1 Hartlepool
Carlisle 2 - 0 Newport
Doncaster 2 - 1 Carlisle